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Waterloo Region Real Estate Market Update – November 2025 Stats & 2026 Kitchener-Waterloo Housing Forecast

elitere | Dec. 9, 2025


November 2025 Real Estate Overview: Cooling Momentum & Shifting Buyer Behaviour

The Waterloo Region real estate market continued to cool in November, providing important insights for homeowners, buyers, and investors planning for 2026. A total of 465 homes sold through the MLS System of the Cornerstone Association of REALTORS — a 14.8% drop from the previous year and nearly 25% below the 10-year November average.

While seasonal slowdowns are typical, this year’s cooling trend is amplified by broader economic conditions, including affordability constraints, cautious consumer sentiment, and shifting borrowing conditions. Despite this cooling, Kitchener-Waterloo remains one of Ontario’s strongest long-term real estate markets, supported by a growing population, strong academic institutions, and a resilient tech and innovation ecosystem.

With interest rates trending downward and inventory rising, industry experts anticipate renewed buyer activity heading into 2026.

November Residential Sales Breakdown (MLS Data)

Detached Houses

  • 274 sales (down 18%)
  • Prices down 4.3% YoY; down 1.8% from October
  • Average price: $827,617

Detached homes continue to experience the largest decline in sales volume, reflecting affordability challenges and buyer caution in the higher-price segments.

Townhouses

  • 91 sales (down 20.9%)
  • Average price: $595,337
  • Prices down 3.1% YoY; slightly up from October

Townhouses remain attractive for move-up buyers and young families, but demand softened amid rising inventory.

Condominium Apartments

  • 59 sales (up 11.3%)
  • Average price: $422,056
  • Prices down 6.3% YoY; down 2.2% from October

Condos were the only segment with a sales increase — signalling a shift toward affordability as buyers look for lower-price entry points.

Semi-Detached Homes

  • 41 sales (down 6.8%)
  • Average price: $635,375
  • Prices down 1.4% YoY; up 10.8% from October

Semi-detached properties remain popular with both first-time and move-up buyers due to their mix of affordability and space.

Average Prices, Inventory Levels & Market Balance

Average Sale Price

The average sale price across all residential property types was $713,751, down 5.4% year-over-year and 2.7% from October.

New Listings & Active Inventory

  • 764 new listings (down 14.4% YoY)
  • 1,757 active listings — the highest November inventory in over a decade

Inventory growth is giving buyers more leverage, easing competition and helping move the market toward balanced conditions.

Months of Supply

  • 3.4 months of supply across the market
  • Condos lead with 6.4 months of supply, indicating slower absorption

Days on Market

Homes took 39 days on average to sell — up from 31 days in October

2026 Kitchener-Waterloo Housing Market Outlook

The RE/MAX Canada Housing Outlook for Kitchener-Waterloo predicts a balanced and stable market heading into 2026.
(Full report here)

2025 Performance at a Glance

  • Average sale price down 6% YoY
  • Sales transactions down 2.8%
  • Listings increased 13.8%

Economic uncertainty, job restructuring, and inflation have influenced local housing trends. Several large employers relocating out of the region have also contributed to shifting demand.

Key Housing Trends for 2026

Balanced Market Conditions

Prices are expected to remain flat through early 2026, with a potential slight decrease of up to 3%. Stable interest rates and steady inventory should prevent sharp fluctuations.

Most Desirable Neighbourhoods

  • Beechwood
  • Westmount
  • Colonial Acres

These neighbourhoods continue to attract strong buyer demand due to established communities, greenery, larger lots, and long-term value.

Most In-Demand Property Types

Single-detached homes remain the leading choice, followed by townhomes and condos among budget-conscious buyers.

Buyer Demographics & Budgets

  • First-time buyers: $500K–$600K
  • Move-up buyers: $750K–$950K
  • Downsizers: Around $600K

New Construction & Development

New subdivisions and walkable “six-minute neighbourhoods” will expand, though condo developments may face delays due to construction costs and financing timelines.

Market Influences: Interest Rates, Rental Pressures & Investor Trends

Interest Rates

Easing rates should boost affordability and encourage more buyers to re-engage in 2026.

Rising Rental Prices

High rents are making it difficult for renters to save for down payments — a trend likely to continue into 2026.

Investor Behaviour

Due to ongoing challenges with the Landlord and Tenant Board, many investors are choosing to exit the market, opening opportunities for end users.

What This Means for Buyers & Sellers in 2026

For Buyers

  • More choice
  • Less competition
  • Stable borrowing conditions
  • Better negotiating leverage

2026 may be an ideal time to enter the Kitchener-Waterloo real estate market, especially for those previously priced out.

For Sellers

  • Pricing accuracy is essential
  • Professional staging and marketing matter
  • Homes in top neighbourhoods continue to perform well

Well-prepared listings will stand out in a balanced market.

For Investors

  • Long-term strategies remain favourable
  • Tenant management challenges persist
  • Inventory growth may create buying opportunities

Key Takeaways – Waterloo Region Housing Market

  • November home sales dropped 14.8% YoY
  • Average sale price: $713,751
  • Inventory reached a 10-year high
  • Market shifted firmly into balanced conditions
  • 2026 outlook predicts stable pricing & gradual activity growth
  • Rising rents and interest rate changes shaping buyer behaviour
  • Top neighbourhoods: Beechwood, Westmount, Colonial Acres

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Is 2026 a good time to buy in Kitchener-Waterloo?

Yes. Increased inventory, stable pricing, and improving borrowing conditions create strong opportunities for buyers.

Will housing prices go down further in 2026?

Prices are expected to stay mostly flat, with a slight potential decrease of up to 3%.

What neighbourhoods hold the strongest value?

Beechwood, Westmount, Colonial Acres, and other mature neighbourhoods continue to outperform due to lot size, schools, and community appeal.

Are investors leaving the market?

Some are, due to LTB challenges — but this creates opportunities for buyers and long-term investors.

What property type will be most popular in 2026?

Single-detached homes remain the most sought-after, followed by townhomes and entry-level condos.

Final Thoughts

Overall, 2026 is shaping up to be a strategic year for real estate decisions across Waterloo Region. Balanced conditions, easing interest rates, and expanded inventory offer opportunities for buyers, sellers, and investors alike. Understanding neighbourhood trends and leveraging local expertise will be key to navigating this evolving market.

If you’d like a personalized discussion about your real estate plans, we’re always here to help.

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